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49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 11, 2026
MarketMaster fair value50¢ vs live 49¢ on Kalshi
1.3% against the midpoint, 0.8% against the 49¢ ask you would actually pay, -1.0% after the 1.75¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
49¢ last
BidAsk
YES48¢49¢
NO51¢52¢
$217,465 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
51¢ last
BidAsk
YES50¢51¢
NO49¢50¢
$114,222 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If SF 49ers and SEA Seahawks collectively score more than 46.5 points in the SF 49ers vs SEA Seahawks Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 11 at 4:25 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the 49ers and Seahawks combine to score 47 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 47, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last49¢
Polymarket last51¢
Model fair value50¢
Model confidence51%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.