Scanner / All markets / Politics

2028 Democratic presidential nominee — Pete Buttigieg

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 7, 2028
MarketMaster fair value vs live on Polymarket
▲ +1.7% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO97¢97¢
$1,756,429 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO98¢98¢
$7,757,828 volume
Cross-venue spread 0.6¢
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 100¢ per $1 payout, locking +0.5¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Pete Buttigieg is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread0.6¢
Kalshi last
Polymarket last
Model fair value
Model confidence33%
Venues2
TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card
RELATED MARKETS
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner? — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez