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Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

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Polymarket Closes Jan 1, 2027
LIVE PRICES — YES
PolymarketTrade ↗
2¢ last
BidAsk
YES2¢2¢
NO98¢98¢
$580,037 volume
Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread—
Kalshi last—
Polymarket last2¢
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.