Skip to content
Scanner / All markets / Economics

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

Post
Polymarket Closes Jan 28, 2027
LIVE PRICES — YES
PolymarketTrade ↗
55¢ last
BidAsk
YES54¢55¢
NO45¢46¢
$58,442 volume
Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question — it frames this release differently, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's January 2027 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread—
Kalshi last—
Polymarket last55¢
Venues2
TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card
ELSEWHERE
RELATED MARKETS
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?No change or Hike 25 bps favored on October 27?Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Above 4.00%