Skip to content
Scanner / All markets / Economics

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.3% before 2027?

Post ☰ See all 5 outcomes in How High Will 10 Year Treasury Yield Go Before 2027 →
Polymarket Closes Jan 1, 2027
LIVE PRICES — YES
PolymarketTrade ↗
99¢ last
BidAsk
YES98¢99¢
NO1¢2¢
$34,007 volume
Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question — it frames this release differently, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date from market creation to December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time. The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread—
Kalshi last—
Polymarket last99¢
Venues2
TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card
ELSEWHERE
RELATED MARKETS
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Next Fed rate hike? — Before 2027Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Fed funds rate after Oct 2026 meeting? — Above 4.00%