Skip to content
Scanner / All markets / Entertainment

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Post
Polymarket Closes Dec 31, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO
PolymarketTrade ↗
33¢ last
BidAsk
YES33¢34¢
NO66¢67¢
$29,038 volume
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread
Kalshi last
Polymarket last33¢
Venues2
TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card
RELATED MARKETS
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026?Oscar winner: Best Picture — The OdysseyWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 900m by August 31?No one announced as next James Bond?Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 1080m by August 31?