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Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?

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Polymarket Closes Jul 1, 2027
LIVE PRICES — YES
PolymarketTrade ↗
38¢ last
BidAsk
YES37¢38¢
NO62¢63¢
$83,076 volume
Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread—
Kalshi last—
Polymarket last38¢
Venues2
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