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Will "Patient Zero - Taylor Swift" be the #1 song this week?

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 5, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
98¢ last
BidAsk
YES98¢100¢
NO0¢2¢
$49,137 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
61¢ last
BidAsk
YES53¢61¢
NO39¢47¢
$4,355 volume
Cross-venue spread 36.8¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 63¢ per $1 payout, locking +37.1¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Patient Zero by Taylor Swift is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Oct 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled October 2. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled October 2 by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread36.8¢
Kalshi last98¢
Polymarket last61¢
Venues2
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