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Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?

Post ☰ See all 3 outcomes in Openai Announces Bankruptcy By →
Polymarket Closes Jan 1, 2030
LIVE PRICES — YES
PolymarketTrade ↗
20¢ last
BidAsk
YES19¢20¢
NO80¢81¢
$10,335 volume
Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents OpenAI. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Polymarket last20¢
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.