Skip to content
Scanner / All markets / Economics

Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?

Post ☰ See all 3 outcomes in Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO? →
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Jan 1, 2028
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
19¢ last
BidAsk
YES
NO97¢99¢
$336 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO99¢99¢
$10,858 volume
Cross-venue spread 18.8¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 100¢ per $1 payout, locking +0.5¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If JPMorgan Chase serves as lead-left underwriter on Anthropic's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.” If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter. If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released. The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread18.8¢
Kalshi last19¢
Polymarket last
Venues2
TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card
RELATED MARKETS
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?72¢Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO? — Morgan Stanley72¢Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?27¢Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in September?Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?
The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.