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Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 100 #1 song for the week of August 1?

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Jul 28, 2026
This market group is no longer actively tracked — final data shown. See live edges →
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO99¢100¢
$1,343 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
99¢ last
BidAsk
YES97¢99¢
NO
$8,557 volume
Cross-venue spread 97.5¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost per $1 payout, locking +96.3¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If BE BY YOU is #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Aug 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. This market will resolve according to the number 1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 chart titled “Week of August 1, 2026”. The named songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant chart is published. If the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the specified week is not published within 14 calendar days of the expected release date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be the official Billboard Hot 100 chart, published on the Billboard website (https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/) or through other official Billboard channels.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread97.5¢
Kalshi last
Polymarket last99¢
Venues2
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