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Washington vs Atlanta: Total Runs — Over 8.5 runs scored

KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 2, 2026
This market group is no longer actively tracked — final data shown. See live edges →
MarketMaster fair value45¢ vs live 43¢ on Polymarket
▲ +2.1% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
37¢ last
BidAsk
YES37¢38¢
NO62¢63¢
$264,261 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
43¢ last
BidAsk
YES45¢46¢
NO54¢55¢
$121,774 volume
Cross-venue spread 6.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 93¢ per $1 payout, locking +7.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Washington and Atlanta collectively score more 8.5 runs in the Washington vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 2, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming MLB game between the Washington Nationals and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for August 2 at 1:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Washington Nationals and Atlanta Braves combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread6.0¢
Kalshi last37¢
Polymarket last43¢
Model fair value45¢
Model confidence52%
Venues2
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