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Valorant: SK Nebula vs Twisted Minds Orchid (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage

KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 5, 2026
MarketMaster fair value34¢ vs live 33¢ on Kalshi
▲ +1.1% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
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last
BidAsk
YES
NO
PolymarketTrade ↗
66¢ last
BidAsk
YES66¢67¢
NO33¢34¢
$6,805 volume
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Valorant match between SK Nebula and Twisted Minds Orchid in the VCT Game Changers EMEA Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 4 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "SK Nebula" if SK Nebula win the match against Twisted Minds Orchid. This market will resolve to "Twisted Minds Orchid" if Twisted Minds Orchid win the match against SK Nebula. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread
Kalshi last
Polymarket last66¢
Model fair value66¢
Model confidence37%
Venues2
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