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USC vs Indiana — USC

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 14, 2026
MarketMaster fair value68¢ vs live 66¢ on Polymarket
1.7% against the midpoint, -4.3% against the 72¢ ask you would actually pay, -5.3% after the 1.01¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
32¢ last
BidAsk
YES30¢32¢
NO68¢70¢
$35,632 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
34¢ last
BidAsk
YES28¢33¢
NO67¢72¢
$1,554 volume
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Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If USC wins the USC vs Indiana college football game originally scheduled for Nov 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming college football game between USC and Indiana, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 3:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "USC" if USC win the game. This market will resolve to "Indiana" if Indiana win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Monday, November 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last32¢
Polymarket last34¢
Model fair value68¢
Model confidence37%
Venues2
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