US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by December 31?

Polymarket Closes Jan 1, 2027

LIVE PRICES — YES

— last

	Bid	Ask
YES	—	—
NO	—	—

PolymarketTrade ↗

40¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	31¢	79¢
NO	21¢	69¢

$40,267 volume

Track this market on MarketMaster →

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY

HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Show full rules

STATS

Cross-venue spread—

Kalshi last—

Polymarket last40¢

Venues2

TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card

RELATED MARKETS

Will Tencent be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Will Srđan Amidžić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?Next Mythos-Class Model released by October 31, 2026?Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder?Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?