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UNiTY esports vs. ex-RUSTEC — ex-RUSTEC

KalshiPolymarket Closes Jul 28, 2026
This market group is no longer actively tracked — final data shown. See live edges →
MarketMaster fair value47¢ vs live 41¢ on Kalshi
▲ +6.5% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
65¢ last
BidAsk
YES61¢64¢
NO36¢39¢
$82,533 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
100¢ last
BidAsk
YES100¢100¢
NO
$5,170 volume
Cross-venue spread 34.9¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 64¢ per $1 payout, locking +35.9¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If ex-RUSTEC wins the Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 2026: UNiTY esports vs. ex-RUSTEC CS2 match originally scheduled for Jul 28, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Winners match between ex-RUSTEC and UNiTY esports in the Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Group C, initially scheduled for July 28 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ex-RUSTEC" if ex-RUSTEC win Map 1 against UNiTY esports. This market will resolve to "UNiTY esports" if UNiTY esports win Map 1 against ex-RUSTEC. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread34.9¢
Kalshi last65¢
Polymarket last100¢
Model fair value47¢
Model confidence45%
Venues2
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