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UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 30, 2026
MarketMaster fair value20¢ vs live 18¢ on Kalshi
▲ +2.1% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
20¢ last
BidAsk
YES16¢20¢
NO80¢84¢
$2,041 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
22¢ last
BidAsk
YES20¢22¢
NO78¢80¢
$18,947 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Yadong Song wins the Nurmagomedov vs Song professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Song Yadong" if Song Yadong is officially declared the winner of the fight against Umar Nurmagomedov at UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song, scheduled for August 29, 2026. It will resolve to "Umar Nurmagomedov" if Umar Nurmagomedov is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 12, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last20¢
Polymarket last22¢
Model fair value20¢
Model confidence34%
Venues2
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