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UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)

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KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 23, 2026
MarketMaster fair value61¢ vs live 59¢ on Polymarket
▲ +1.8% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
last
BidAsk
YES
NO
PolymarketTrade ↗
59¢ last
BidAsk
YES58¢59¢
NO41¢42¢
$10,995 volume
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Anthony Hernandez" if Anthony Hernandez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Gregory Rodrigues at UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues, scheduled for August 22, 2026. It will resolve to "Gregory Rodrigues" if Gregory Rodrigues is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 5, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread
Kalshi last
Polymarket last59¢
Model fair value61¢
Model confidence39%
Venues2
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