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UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 16, 2026
MarketMaster fair value56¢ vs live 55¢ on Polymarket
▲ +1.4% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
43¢ last
BidAsk
YES42¢43¢
NO57¢58¢
$9,174 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
45¢ last
BidAsk
YES43¢44¢
NO56¢57¢
$4,209 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Vicente Luque wins the Luque vs Gore professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Vicente Luque" if Vicente Luque is officially declared the winner of the fight against Tresean Gore at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Tresean Gore" if Tresean Gore is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last43¢
Polymarket last45¢
Model fair value44¢
Model confidence37%
Venues2
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