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Stetson vs. Davidson

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 7, 2026
MarketMaster fair value52¢ vs live 51¢ on Kalshi
2.0% against the midpoint, 1.5% against the 51¢ ask you would actually pay, -0.3% after the 1.75¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
51¢ last
BidAsk
YES50¢51¢
NO49¢50¢
$887 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
54¢ last
BidAsk
YES52¢54¢
NO46¢48¢
$3,487 volume
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Cross-venue spread 3.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Stetson wins the Stetson vs Davidson college football game originally scheduled for Nov 7, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming college football game between Stetson and Davidson, scheduled for November 7 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Stetson" if Stetson win the game. This market will resolve to "Davidson" if Davidson win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread3.0¢
Kalshi last51¢
Polymarket last54¢
Model fair value52¢
Model confidence35%
Venues2
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