Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Daniil Medvedev

Kalshi — primary rule

If Rafael Jodar wins the Jodar vs Medvedev professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Rafael Jodar and Daniil Medvedev in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rafael Jodar' if Rafael Jodar advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Rafael Jodar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.