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Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Taro Daniel vs Shintaro Mochizuki

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 5, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
57¢ last
BidAsk
YES56¢57¢
NO43¢44¢
$1,469 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
58¢ last
BidAsk
YES57¢58¢
NO42¢43¢
$7,537 volume
Cross-venue spread 1.0¢
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Taro Daniel wins the Daniel vs Mochizuki professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Taro Daniel and Shintaro Mochizuki in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taro Daniel' if Taro Daniel advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Taro Daniel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread1.0¢
Kalshi last57¢
Polymarket last58¢
Venues2
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