Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Rio Noguchi vs Alexandre Muller

Kalshi — primary rule

If Rio Noguchi wins the Noguchi vs Muller professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Rio Noguchi and Alexandre Muller in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rio Noguchi' if Rio Noguchi advances against Alexandre Muller. This market will resolve to 'Alexandre Muller' if Alexandre Muller advances against Rio Noguchi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.