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Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Nicolas Mejia

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 5, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
64¢ last
BidAsk
YES63¢64¢
NO36¢37¢
$2,149 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
62¢ last
BidAsk
YES61¢62¢
NO38¢39¢
$3,012 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Chun Hsin Tseng wins the Tseng vs Mejia professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Chun-Hsin Tseng and Nicolas Mejia in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chun-Hsin Tseng' if Chun-Hsin Tseng advances against Nicolas Mejia. This market will resolve to 'Nicolas Mejia' if Nicolas Mejia advances against Chun-Hsin Tseng. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last64¢
Polymarket last62¢
Venues2
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