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Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 15, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
67¢ last
BidAsk
YES66¢67¢
NO33¢34¢
$1,670 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
65¢ last
BidAsk
YES64¢65¢
NO35¢36¢
$3,394 volume
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Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Alexander Zverev wins the Zverev vs de Minaur professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Shanghai Quarterfinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Zverev and Alex de Minaur in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Zverev' if Alexander Zverev advances against Alex de Minaur. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Alexander Zverev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last67¢
Polymarket last65¢
Venues2
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