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Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Paula Badosa

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 19, 2026
This market group is no longer actively tracked — final data shown. See live edges →
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
35¢ last
BidAsk
YES34¢35¢
NO65¢66¢
$364,502 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
45¢ last
BidAsk
YES45¢46¢
NO54¢55¢
$50,796 volume
Cross-venue spread 10.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 90¢ per $1 payout, locking +10.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Nadia Podoroska wins the Podoroska vs Badosa professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Sao Paulo Semifinal after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Nadia Podoroska and Paula Badosa in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 19, 2026 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nadia Podoroska' if Nadia Podoroska advances against Paula Badosa. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Nadia Podoroska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread10.0¢
Kalshi last35¢
Polymarket last45¢
Venues2
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