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San Diego vs Miami: Total Runs — Over 8.5 runs scored

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Jul 25, 2026
MarketMaster fair value77¢ vs live 70¢ on Polymarket
▲ +6.5% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
18¢ last
BidAsk
YES13¢18¢
NO82¢87¢
$139,856 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
30¢ last
BidAsk
YES17¢21¢
NO79¢83¢
$20,244 volume
Cross-venue spread 12.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If San Diego and Miami collectively score more 8.5 runs in the San Diego vs Miami professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026 at 4:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Miami Marlins, scheduled for July 25 at 4:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the San Diego Padres and Miami Marlins combine to score 9 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 9, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread12.0¢
Kalshi last18¢
Polymarket last30¢
Model fair value23¢
Model confidence43%
Venues2
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