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San Diego vs Atlanta — Atlanta

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Jul 23, 2026
MarketMaster fair value51¢ vs live 44¢ on Polymarket
▲ +7.4% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
36¢ last
BidAsk
YES33¢36¢
NO64¢67¢
$173 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
44¢ last
BidAsk
YES43¢44¢
NO56¢57¢
$5,052 volume
Cross-venue spread 8.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 93¢ per $1 payout, locking +7.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If San Diego wins the San Diego vs Atlanta professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 23, 2026 at 12:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Atlanta Braves, scheduled for July 21 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game. This market will resolve to "Atlanta Braves" if the Atlanta Braves win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread8.0¢
Kalshi last36¢
Polymarket last44¢
Model fair value51¢
Model confidence44%
Venues2
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