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Samsonova vs Watson — Liudmila Samsonova

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 24, 2026
This market group is no longer actively tracked — final data shown. See live edges →
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
92¢ last
BidAsk
YES91¢92¢
NO8¢9¢
$86,107 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
94¢ last
BidAsk
YES93¢94¢
NO6¢7¢
$5,655 volume
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Cross-venue spread 2.0¢
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Liudmila Samsonova wins the Samsonova vs Watson professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Tokyo Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Liudmila Samsonova and Heather Watson in the Pan Pacific Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 9:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Heather Watson. This market will resolve to 'Heather Watson' if Heather Watson advances against Liudmila Samsonova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last92¢
Polymarket last94¢
Venues2
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