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Saints vs. Giants

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Oct 18, 2026
MarketMaster fair value51¢ vs live 50¢ on Kalshi
1.3% against the midpoint, 0.8% against the 50¢ ask you would actually pay, -1.0% after the 1.75¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
50¢ last
BidAsk
YES49¢50¢
NO50¢51¢
$8,974 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
52¢ last
BidAsk
YES51¢52¢
NO48¢49¢
$4,350 volume
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Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If New Orleans wins the NOLA Saints vs NY Giants Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL football game between Saints and Giants, scheduled for October 18 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Saints" if Saints win the game. This market will resolve to "Giants" if Giants win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last50¢
Polymarket last52¢
Model fair value51¢
Model confidence31%
Venues2
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