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Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Nuno Borges vs Alex Molcan

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 1, 2026
This market group is no longer actively tracked — final data shown. See live edges →
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
50¢ last
BidAsk
YES49¢50¢
NO50¢51¢
$232,621 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
54¢ last
BidAsk
YES53¢54¢
NO46¢47¢
$61,285 volume
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Cross-venue spread 4.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 97¢ per $1 payout, locking +3.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Nuno Borges wins the Borges vs Molcan professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Qualification Final after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Alex Molcan in the Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for November 1, 2026 at 8:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nuno Borges' if Nuno Borges advances against Alex Molcan. This market will resolve to 'Alex Molcan' if Alex Molcan advances against Nuno Borges. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread4.0¢
Kalshi last50¢
Polymarket last54¢
Venues2
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