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Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 4, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
65¢ last
BidAsk
YES64¢65¢
NO35¢36¢
$112 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
65¢ last
BidAsk
YES62¢63¢
NO37¢38¢
$6,341 volume
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Cross-venue spread 0.0¢
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Arthur Fils wins the Fils vs Machac professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Paris Round Of 32 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fils and Tomas Machac in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Tomas Machac. This market will resolve to 'Tomas Machac' if Tomas Machac advances against Arthur Fils. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread0.0¢
Kalshi last65¢
Polymarket last65¢
Venues2
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