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Ravens vs. Browns: O/U 40.5

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 18, 2026
MarketMaster fair value54¢ vs live 53¢ on Kalshi
1.8% against the midpoint, 1.3% against the 53¢ ask you would actually pay, -0.5% after the 1.74¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
51¢ last
BidAsk
YES51¢52¢
NO48¢49¢
$3,662 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
56¢ last
BidAsk
YES51¢52¢
NO48¢49¢
$2,608 volume
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Cross-venue spread 5.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Baltimore and Cleveland collectively score more than 40.5 points in the Baltimore vs Cleveland Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 18 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Ravens and Browns combine to score 41 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 41, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread5.0¢
Kalshi last51¢
Polymarket last56¢
Model fair value54¢
Model confidence35%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.