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Ravens vs. Bills

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Nov 1, 2026
MarketMaster fair value39¢ vs live 38¢ on Kalshi
1.3% against the midpoint, 0.8% against the 38¢ ask you would actually pay, -0.8% after the 1.65¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
38¢ last
BidAsk
YES37¢38¢
NO62¢63¢
$31,635 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
40¢ last
BidAsk
YES37¢38¢
NO62¢63¢
$9,826 volume
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Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Baltimore wins the Baltimore vs Buffalo Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL football game between Ravens and Bills, scheduled for November 1 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Ravens" if Ravens win the game. This market will resolve to "Bills" if Bills win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last38¢
Polymarket last40¢
Model fair value39¢
Model confidence33%
Venues2
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