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Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Xinyu Wang vs Antonia Ruzic

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 5, 2026
MarketMaster fair value46¢ vs live 45¢ on Kalshi
1.3% against the midpoint, 0.8% against the 45¢ ask you would actually pay, -1.0% after the 1.73¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
53¢ last
BidAsk
YES55¢56¢
NO44¢45¢
$7,492 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
53¢ last
BidAsk
YES54¢56¢
NO44¢46¢
$6,021 volume
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Cross-venue spread 0.0¢
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Xinyu Wang wins the Wang vs Ruzic professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Hong Kong Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Xinyu Wang and Antonia Ruzic in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 1:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Xinyu Wang' if Xinyu Wang advances against Antonia Ruzic. This market will resolve to 'Antonia Ruzic' if Antonia Ruzic advances against Xinyu Wang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread0.0¢
Kalshi last53¢
Polymarket last53¢
Model fair value46¢
Model confidence39%
Venues2
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