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Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Katie Boulter

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 4, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
29¢ last
BidAsk
YES28¢29¢
NO71¢72¢
$30,189 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
41¢ last
BidAsk
YES30¢31¢
NO69¢70¢
$7,725 volume
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Cross-venue spread 12.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Claire Liu wins the Liu vs Boulter professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Hong Kong Round Of 16 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Claire Liu and Katie Boulter in the Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, originally scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Claire Liu' if Claire Liu advances against Katie Boulter. This market will resolve to 'Katie Boulter' if Katie Boulter advances against Claire Liu. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread12.0¢
Kalshi last29¢
Polymarket last41¢
Venues2
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