Scanner / All markets / Sports

Pittsburgh vs New York Y: Game 1 — Pittsburgh

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Jul 22, 2026
MarketMaster fair value57¢ vs live 38¢ on Polymarket
▲ +18.6% edge · Buy YES
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
68¢ last
BidAsk
YES67¢68¢
NO32¢33¢
$1,356,808 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
38¢ last
BidAsk
YES37¢38¢
NO62¢63¢
$191,149 volume
Cross-venue spread 30.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Polymarket and NO on Kalshi — total cost 71¢ per $1 payout, locking +29.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Pittsburgh wins the Pittsburgh vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming MLB game between the Pittsburgh Pirates and New York Yankees, scheduled for July 21 at 7:05PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread30.0¢
Kalshi last68¢
Polymarket last38¢
Model fair value57¢
Model confidence46%
Venues2
TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card
RELATED MARKETS
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York Yankees: O/U 9.5San Diego vs Atlanta: Total Runs — Over 8.5 runs scoredSan Francisco Giants vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5