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Philadelphia vs Baltimore: Total Runs — Over 7.5 runs scored

KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 2, 2026
This market group is no longer actively tracked — final data shown. See live edges →
MarketMaster fair value50¢ vs live 47¢ on Polymarket
▲ +2.5% edge · Buy NO
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
40¢ last
BidAsk
YES38¢39¢
NO61¢62¢
$233,628 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
53¢ last
BidAsk
YES39¢40¢
NO60¢61¢
$16,962 volume
Cross-venue spread 13.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Philadelphia and Baltimore collectively score more 7.5 runs in the Philadelphia vs Baltimore professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 2, 2026 at 1:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming MLB game between the Philadelphia Phillies and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for August 2 at 1:35 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Philadelphia Phillies and Baltimore Orioles combine to score 8 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread13.0¢
Kalshi last40¢
Polymarket last53¢
Model fair value50¢
Model confidence48%
Venues2
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