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Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?

Post
Polymarket Closes Dec 1, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
PolymarketTrade ↗
35¢ last
BidAsk
YES34¢35¢
NO65¢66¢
$80,805 volume
Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
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30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread—
Kalshi last—
Polymarket last35¢
Venues2
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