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Pavlovic vs Simakin — Luka Pavlovic

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Oct 17, 2026
This market group is no longer actively tracked — final data shown. See live edges →
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
20¢ last
BidAsk
YES20¢21¢
NO79¢80¢
$8,631 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
26¢ last
BidAsk
YES16¢20¢
NO80¢84¢
$3,529 volume
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Cross-venue spread 6.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Luka Pavlovic wins the Pavlovic vs Simakin professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Almaty Qualification Round 1 after a ball has been played, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Pavlovic and Ilia Simakin in the Almaty Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Luka Pavlovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread6.0¢
Kalshi last20¢
Polymarket last26¢
Venues2
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