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Patriots vs. Dolphins: O/U 44.5

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Nov 2, 2026
MarketMaster fair value44¢ vs live 40¢ on Kalshi
4.6% against the midpoint, 4.1% against the 40¢ ask you would actually pay, +2.4% after the 1.68¢ taker fee.
▲ +2.4% after fees · Buy YES
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
39¢ last
BidAsk
YES39¢40¢
NO60¢61¢
$360,431 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
48¢ last
BidAsk
YES38¢39¢
NO61¢62¢
$3,665 volume
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Cross-venue spread 9.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If New England and Miami collectively score more than 44.5 points in the New England vs Miami Pro Football game originally scheduled for Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for November 1 at 4:25 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Patriots and Dolphins combine to score 45 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 45, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread9.0¢
Kalshi last39¢
Polymarket last48¢
Model fair value44¢
Model confidence35%
Venues2
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Patriots vs. Dolphins76¢New England vs Miami: Total Points — Over 42.5 points44¢Chiefs vs. Broncos: O/U 44.5Cleveland vs Pittsburgh: Total Points — Over 40.5 pointsMinnesota vs Detroit: Total Points — Over 44.5 pointsTitans vs. Bengals: O/U 44.5
The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.