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Patriots vs. Bears: O/U 46.5

Post ☰ See all 5 outcomes in New England vs Chicago: Total Points →
KalshiPolymarket Closes Oct 23, 2026
MarketMaster fair value65¢ vs live 64¢ on Kalshi
1.3% against the midpoint, 0.8% against the 64¢ ask you would actually pay, -0.8% after the 1.61¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
64¢ last
BidAsk
YES63¢64¢
NO36¢37¢
$28,276 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
66¢ last
BidAsk
YES63¢64¢
NO36¢37¢
$28,410 volume
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Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If New England and Chicago collectively score more than 46.5 points in the New England vs Chicago Pro Football game originally scheduled for Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 22 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Patriots and Bears combine to score 47 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 47, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last64¢
Polymarket last66¢
Model fair value65¢
Model confidence37%
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.