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paiN vs. Wildcard — Wildcard

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Aug 15, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
34¢ last
BidAsk
YES31¢33¢
NO67¢69¢
$13,465 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
47¢ last
BidAsk
YES51¢53¢
NO47¢49¢
$18,097 volume
Cross-venue spread 13.0¢· active arbitrage window
CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 82¢ per $1 payout, locking +18.0¢ per contract before fees.

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Wildcard wins the Esports World Cup 2026: paiN vs. Wildcard CS2 match originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 at 10:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket quarterfinal 2 match between Wildcard and paiN in the Esports World Cup Group D, initially scheduled for August 15 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Wildcard" if Wildcard win Map 1 against paiN. This market will resolve to "paiN" if paiN win Map 1 against Wildcard. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread13.0¢
Kalshi last34¢
Polymarket last47¢
Venues2
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