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OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

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Polymarket Closes Dec 31, 2026
LIVE PRICES — YES
PolymarketTrade ↗
26¢ last
BidAsk
YES23¢27¢
NO73¢77¢
$115,781 volume
Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
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30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI or an official representative of the company announces that it has created an artificial general intelligence (AGI) by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI and/or its official representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread—
Kalshi last—
Polymarket last26¢
Venues2
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