Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)

KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 13, 2026

LIVE PRICES — YES

KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗

47¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	46¢	47¢
NO	53¢	54¢

$1,090 volume

PolymarketTrade ↗

49¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	48¢	49¢
NO	51¢	52¢

$1,780 volume

Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window

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CROSS-VENUE ARBITRAGE

Buy YES on Kalshi and NO on Polymarket — total cost 99¢ per $1 payout, locking +1.0¢ per contract before fees.

Stake $

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY

HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If Brandon Moreno wins the Moreno vs Morales professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Brandon Moreno" if Brandon Moreno is officially declared the winner of the fight against Joseph Morales at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It will resolve to "Joseph Morales" if Joseph Morales is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

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STATS

Cross-venue spread2.0¢

Kalshi last47¢

Polymarket last49¢

Venues2

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