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NO Saints vs BAL Ravens — New Orleans

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Sep 20, 2026
MarketMaster fair value75¢ vs live 71¢ on Polymarket
4.2% against the midpoint, -4.8% against the 80¢ ask you would actually pay, -5.6% after the 0.80¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
22¢ last
BidAsk
YES21¢22¢
NO78¢79¢
$30,168 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
29¢ last
BidAsk
YES20¢21¢
NO79¢80¢
$961 volume
Cross-venue spread 7.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If New Orleans wins the NO Saints vs BAL Ravens Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 20 at 1:00PM ET: If Saints wins, the market will resolve to "Saints". If Ravens wins, the market will resolve to "Ravens". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread7.0¢
Kalshi last22¢
Polymarket last29¢
Model fair value75¢
Model confidence29%
Venues2
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