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Next Israeli government formed by December 31, 2026?

Post ☰ See all 4 outcomes in Next Israeli Government Formed By →
Polymarket Closes Jul 1, 2027
LIVE PRICES — YES
PolymarketTrade ↗
21¢ last
BidAsk
YES20¢21¢
NO79¢80¢
$12,236 volume
Listed on Polymarket only. Kalshi does not carry a market that settles on this exact question, so there is no cross-venue price to compare here.
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Government of Israel is officially sworn in by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, a newly formed government, headed by a Prime Minister and composed of appointed ministers must be sworn in before the Knesset within this market's timeframe. Only a government formed as a result of the 2026 Knesset election or any subsequent election will qualify. Caretaker or transitional governments, including the outgoing government continuing to serve in a caretaker capacity, will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel or the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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STATS
Cross-venue spread—
Kalshi last—
Polymarket last21¢
Venues2
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The same question at a different strike, deadline or outcome — related, not the same contract. Prices are the latest YES.