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New York J vs Detroit — New York J

Post
KalshiPolymarket Closes Sep 27, 2026
MarketMaster fair value73¢ vs live 72¢ on Polymarket
1.4% against the midpoint, -2.6% against the 76¢ ask you would actually pay, -3.5% after the 0.91¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Polymarket ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
26¢ last
BidAsk
YES25¢26¢
NO74¢75¢
$24,598 volume
PolymarketTrade ↗
28¢ last
BidAsk
YES24¢27¢
NO73¢76¢
$2,315 volume
Cross-venue spread 2.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If New York J wins the New York J vs Detroit Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 1:00PM ET: If Jets wins, the market will resolve to "Jets". If Lions wins, the market will resolve to "Lions". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread2.0¢
Kalshi last26¢
Polymarket last28¢
Model fair value73¢
Model confidence30%
Venues2
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