New pandemic in 2026?

KalshiPolymarket Closes Dec 31, 2026

LIVE PRICES — YES

— last

	Bid	Ask
YES	—	—
NO	—	—

PolymarketTrade ↗

6¢ last

	Bid	Ask
YES	6¢	7¢
NO	93¢	94¢

$995,815 volume

30-DAY PRICE HISTORY

HOW THIS RESOLVES

Polymarket — resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization (WHO) declares any disease a pandemic between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the World Health Organization.

Show full rules

STATS

Cross-venue spread—

Kalshi last—

Polymarket last6¢

Venues2

TRACK THIS MARKET

Get an email the moment the price or edge moves — watchlists, whale alerts and the full scanner are free to start.

Start free — no card

RELATED MARKETS

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Will Bytedance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?