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New Haven vs. South Dakota State: O/U 56.5

Post
KalshiPolymarket ✓ Verified same-resolution Closes Sep 13, 2026
MarketMaster fair value53¢ vs live 49¢ on Kalshi
3.5% against the midpoint, 0.5% against the 52¢ ask you would actually pay, -1.2% after the 1.75¢ taker fee.
No edge after fees
Trade on Kalshi ↗
LIVE PRICES — YES
KalshiTrade ↗
57¢ last
BidAsk
YES48¢54¢
NO46¢52¢
$2,141 volume
PolymarketBEST YES PRICETrade ↗
44¢ last
BidAsk
YES48¢56¢
NO44¢52¢
$2,933 volume
Cross-venue spread 13.0¢· active arbitrage window
30-DAY PRICE HISTORY
HOW THIS RESOLVES

Kalshi — primary rule

If the teams collectively score more than 56.5 points in the New Haven vs South Dakota St. college football game originally scheduled for Sep 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Polymarket — resolution criteria

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 12 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if New Haven and South Dakota State combine to score 57 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 57, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Show full rules
STATS
Cross-venue spread13.0¢
Kalshi last57¢
Polymarket last44¢
Model fair value53¢
Model confidence34%
Venues2
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